High prevalence COVID-19 test

The chance of High prevalence COVID-19 test is 12 in 100|95%|95%

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Low prevalence COVID-19 test

The chance of Low prevalence COVID-19 test is 1 in 100|70%|99%

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a bomber being shot down on bombing operation in WWII

The chance of a bomber being shot down on bombing operation in WWII is 8325 in 364514

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RAF_Bomber_Command

a clover having four leaves

The chance of a clover having four leaves is 1 in 10000

https://www.housebeautiful.com/uk/lifestyle/a21253660/brain-teaser-spot-four-leaf-clover-puzzle/

being killed on a sortie in the Battle of Britain

The chance of being killed on a sortie in the Battle of Britain is 3%

https://www.pprune.org/military-aviation/522123-risk-being-shot-down-battle-britain-pilot-same-odds.html

dealing 3 of a kind in 5-card poker

The chance of dealing 3 of a kind in 5-card poker is 54912 in 2598960

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poker_probability#Frequency_of_5-card_poker_hands

dealing 4 of a kind in 5-card poker

The chance of dealing 4 of a kind in 5-card poker is 624 in 2598960

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poker_probability#Frequency_of_5-card_poker_hands

dealing a flush in 5-card poker

The chance of dealing a flush in 5-card poker is 5108 in 2598960

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poker_probability#Frequency_of_5-card_poker_hands

dealing a full house in 5-card poker

The chance of dealing a full house in 5-card poker is 3744 in 2598960

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poker_probability#Frequency_of_5-card_poker_hands

dealing a royal flush in 5-card poker

The chance of dealing a royal flush in 5-card poker is 4 in 2598960

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poker_probability#Frequency_of_5-card_poker_hands

dealing a straight flush (not royal) in 5-card poker

The chance of dealing a straight flush (not royal) in 5-card poker is 36 in 2598960

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poker_probability#Frequency_of_5-card_poker_hands

dealing a straight in 5-card poker

The chance of dealing a straight in 5-card poker is 10200 in 2598960

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poker_probability#Frequency_of_5-card_poker_hands

dealing no pair in 5-card poker

The chance of dealing no pair in 5-card poker is 1302540 in 2598960

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poker_probability#Frequency_of_5-card_poker_hands

dealing one pair in 5-card poker

The chance of dealing one pair in 5-card poker is 1098240 in 2598960

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poker_probability#Frequency_of_5-card_poker_hands

dealing two pairs in 5-card poker

The chance of dealing two pairs in 5-card poker is 123552 in 2598960

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poker_probability#Frequency_of_5-card_poker_hands

dying of cardiac arrest while running a marathon

The chance of dying of cardiac arrest while running a marathon is 1 in 126000

http://www.bandolier.org.uk/booth/Risk/sports.html

dying when skydiving

The chance of dying when skydiving is 1 in 159000

https://uspa.org/Find/FAQs/Safety

dying while skiing

The chance of dying while skiing is 1 in 1557000

http://www.bandolier.org.uk/booth/Risk/sports.html

getting 10 heads in a sequence of 10 flips of a coin

The chance of getting 10 heads in a sequence of 10 flips of a coin is 1 in 1024

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

heads on a coin flip

The chance of heads on a coin flip is 1 to 1

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

ones and sixes on a dice roll

The chance of ones and sixes on a dice roll is 1 in 6|1 in 6

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

rolling a total of 7 with 2 dice

The chance of rolling a total of 7 with 2 dice is 6 in 36

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

six on a dice roll

The chance of six on a dice roll is 1 in 6

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

winning on a single number playing French roulette

The chance of winning on a single number playing French roulette is 1 in 37

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roulette

winning on a single number playing US roulette

The chance of winning on a single number playing US roulette is 1 in 38

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roulette

winning on red playing French roulette

The chance of winning on red playing French roulette is 18 in 37

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roulette

winning on red playing US roulette

The chance of winning on red playing US roulette is 18 in 38

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roulette

winning the main prize in the UK National Lottery

The chance of winning the main prize in the UK National Lottery is 1 in 45057473

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Lottery_(United_Kingdom)#2018_changes

Is That A Big Number? - The Book

Yes, there's now a book based on these numbers. Oxford University Press: July 2018.

Click here to learn more about it.

Click here for Podcast: Andrew Elliott interviewed for New Books Network.

http://itabn.tumblr.com/post/138631317782/this-website