dying of cardiac arrest while running a marathon

The chances of deaths are:

For multiple marathons, each with probability 1 in 126000, on average there will be marathons until deaths.

On average, with up to 10 repeated marathons, there will be 0.0 runners with deaths.

Probability

  • 0.000008
  • As a percentage

  • 0.0008%
  • As a rounded-off proportion

  • 0 in 1
  • As approximate fair betting odds

  • 250000 : 2
  • Representative example

    For deaths

  • 100 runners x 10 marathons max
  • Observed deaths: 0
  • For runners (columns)
  • Summary for runners: {'min': 0, 'max': 0, 'mean': 0.0, 'median': 0}
  • Counts: How many deaths for each of the runners? [Click to show]
  • [0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0]
  • Distribution: How many runners for each different number of deaths? [Click to show]
  • 100 with 0 deaths;
    For marathons (rows)
  • Summary for marathons: {'min': 0, 'max': 0, 'mean': 0.0, 'median': 0}
  • Counts: How many deaths for each of the marathons? [Click to show]
  • [0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0]
  • Distribution: How many marathons for each different number of deaths? [Click to show]
  • 10 with 0 deaths;

    What are the Chances of That? - The Book

    Five reasons that we find it hard to think about uncertainty. To be published by Oxford University Press in 2021.

    Click here to learn more about it.

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