dying while skiing

The chances of deaths are:

For multiple visits, each with probability 1 in 1557000, on average there will be visits until deaths.

On average, with up to 20 repeated visits, there will be 0.0 skiers with deaths.

Probability

  • 0.000001
  • As a percentage

  • 0.0001%
  • As a rounded-off proportion

  • 0 in 1
  • As approximate fair betting odds

  • 14000000 : 9
  • Representative example

    For deaths

  • 100 skiers x 20 visits max
  • Observed deaths: 0
  • For skiers (columns)
  • Summary for skiers: {'min': 0, 'max': 0, 'mean': 0.0, 'median': 0}
  • Counts: How many deaths for each of the skiers? [Click to show]
  • [0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0]
  • Distribution: How many skiers for each different number of deaths? [Click to show]
  • 100 with 0 deaths;
    For visits (rows)
  • Summary for visits: {'min': 0, 'max': 0, 'mean': 0.0, 'median': 0}
  • Counts: How many deaths for each of the visits? [Click to show]
  • [0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0]
  • Distribution: How many visits for each different number of deaths? [Click to show]
  • 20 with 0 deaths;

    What are the Chances of That? - The Book

    Five reasons that we find it hard to think about uncertainty. To be published by Oxford University Press in 2021.

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