What are the chances of this?


Enter the chance as eg: '3%', '1 in 1000', '100 to 1', '2:1', '0.075', '7 in 36'

Getting to Grips with Big

Stop worrying and learn to love big numbers

Numbers Astronomical and Beyond

IsThatABigNumber.com is about extending our number sense. We make comparisons that are (mostly) down-to-earth: populations of people and animals, national budgets, river lengths and so on.

But when we leave behind everyday experience and look at the kind of numbers you find in astronomy and in combinatorics, we come across vastly bigger numbers.

One strategy to grasp these numbers is to break them down into a series of levels, to see them as stupidly big aggregations of things that are themselves stupidly big aggregations of …  Here are some good clips illustrating this:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QgNDao7m41M

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T69cguFzZ_w

The Uncertain World

Chance would be a fine thing

Chance Discoveries

Not all advances in technology stem from well-planned development projects. Sometimes accidents turn out to be fortuitous. In 2003 Jamie Link shattered a silicon chip, and discovered the fragments were still transmitting signals. “Smart Dust” was the result: microelectomechanical devices with a host of applications. It’s not the only invention to be the result of chance. Read more here:

https://newhumanist.org.uk/articles/4852/science-and-serendipity-famous-accidental-discoveries

What are the Chances of That? - The Book

Five reasons that we find it hard to think about uncertainty. To be published by Oxford University Press in 2021.

Click here to learn more about it.

http://itabn.tumblr.com/post/138631317782/this-website